Themes and Variations

Populations increase and decrease relatively not only to one another, but also to natural resources. In most parts of the world, the relation between population and resources is already unfavourable and will probably become even more unfavourable in the future. This growing poverty in the midst of growing poverty constitutes a permanent menace to peace. And not only to peace, but also to democratic institutions and personal liberty. For overpopulation is not compatible with freedom. An unfavourable relationship between numbers and resources tends to make the earning of a living almost intolerably difficult. Labour is more abundant than goods, and the individual is compelled to work long hours for little pay. No surplus of accumulated purchasing power stands between him and the tyrannies of unfriendly nature or of the equally unfriendly wielders of political and economic power.

Democracy is, among other things, the ability to say 'no' to the boss. But a man cannot say 'no' to the boss, unless he is sure of being able to eat when the boss's favour has been withdrawn. And he cannot be certain of his next meal unless he owns the means of producing enough wealth, for his family to live on, or has been able to accumulate a surplus out of past wages, or has a chance of moving to virgin territories, where he can make a fresh start. In an overcrowded country, very few people own enough to make them financially independent; very few are in a position to accumulate purchasing power; and there is no free land. Moreover, in any country where population presses hard upon natural resources, the general economic situation is apt to be so precarious that government control of capital and labour, production and consumption, becomes inevitable. It is no accident that the twentieth century should be the century of highly centralized governments and totalitarian dictatorships; it had to be so for the simple reason that the twentieth century is the century of planetary overcrowding.

课文译文

各地人口的增减不仅彼此相关,也与自然资源相关。在世界大多数地区,人口与资源之间的关系已很紧张,将来可能会更紧张。日益增长的贫困会对和平构成持续威胁。不仅威胁和平,也会威胁民主制度和个人自由,因为人口过剩与自由是不相容的。人口和资源之间的紧张关系往往使谋生变得十分困难。劳动力比产品还丰富,个人被迫长时间工作却收入微薄,受到暴君或同样不友好的政治和经济权力掌握者的双重挤压,难以积累剩余购买力。

民主的一个好处是对老板说“不”的能力。一个人除非确信在老板的恩惠被收回时他也有饭吃,否则他是不敢对老板说“不”的。他无法确定自己的下一顿饭在哪里,除非他拥有足够的财富来维持家庭生活,或者能够从过去的工资中积累盈余,或者有机会搬到处女地,在那里他可以重新开始。在一个过度拥挤的国家,很少有人拥有足够的财产使他们在经济上独立,很少有人能够积累购买力,也没有空闲的土地。此外,在任何一个人口严重依赖自然资源的国家,总的经济形势往往非常不稳定,政府对资本和劳动力、生产和消费的控制不可避免。二十世纪应该是高度集权政府和极权独裁的世纪,之所以如此,原因很简单:二十世纪是地球过度拥挤的世纪。